6/12 Pittsburgh Pirates at Arizona Diamondbacks
In a matchup that is not the sexiest, it could be a matchup where some value could be found. Trevor Williams is not the most enticing name, but he has been solid over the first five innings of most of his starts. In fact, over the past two seasons, he sits at 27-7 when betting under in the first innings.
Across from that is Clay Buchholz. Buchholz was recently acquired and has made four starts. While we know that this veteran does not have much upside, he has been solid in his limited time so far. Buchholz does not have a strong arm but has solid command. This should see him excelling early into the season, but potentially being a fade candidate late.
Adding in that the Pirates are in the midst of a slump, and their lineup is not as strong as it was when the season started and we may have some perception to take advantage of.
Neither pitcher has a big name, and both lineups may be overhyped. This should be a good time to look into the under in the first five innings.
6/13 Rockies at Phillies
Tyler Anderson has been excellent on the road to date. He is giving up an average of .222 and his ERA is about 0.6 lower on the road this season. However, historically, Anderson has been one pitcher who has been better at Coors Field than on the road. He came up through the Rockies system and is used to that environment.
Based on his historical data, Anderson is due to regress on the road soon. The Phillies should present an opportunity to see that play out. The Phillies have been a surprising team this season who has stayed competitive with a young and up and coming lineup.
Another young up and comer is Nick Pivetta. In his second MLB season, he has a 10.2 K/9 ratio and 2.4 BB/9 ratios. On top of that, both his FIP and XFIP are lower than his ERA, which sits at a respectable 3.76. Pivetta has been excellent and should get better. Anderson may be ready to regress. This could be a nice chance to jump on the Phillies.
This weekend gives us our second golfing major with the U.S. Open. The obvious first name to look into is Dustin Johnson. He is the world’s best golfer, he plays extremely well in this event and he is hot coming. Of his last five U.S. Open rounds, he shot under 70. It is safe to say that even if he does not take home the Major title, he will be in the running for it with a competitive score on Sunday.
At 40-1, two decent bets to look into are Bryson DeChambeau and Sergio Garcia. Garcia is one just two golfers to make the cut at this course in each of the past five events. Garcia knows this course well. While he is known for coming up short on Sunday’s at times, we should see him golfing deep into the weekend with odds to win. Lastly is DeChambeau, the young up and comer. He is having an absolutely strong season to date. He is coming off of a tournament win and could be the hot hand worth riding. These three golfers seem to present the best odds.
Some other names to look into include, Phil Mickelson, Patrick Reed, Rickie Fowler, who is coming off a recent engagement.